Not too long ago,
Microsoft pulled the wraps off the developer preview of its next
generation operating system. I say 'next generation' intentionally
as opposed 'next' because Windows 8 truly does signify a revolution
for not only Microsoft, but personal computing as a whole. With
Microsoft's pre-beta release of Windows 8, I can say without
hesitation that computing is without doubt driving head-on into the
age of direct manipulation computing, or 'Post-PC' if you like.
Anybody who counts
Microsoft out as being an influential figure for the next decade of
computing would have to be incredibly short-sighted. Eric Schmidt
pointed out earlier this year that he considered his gang of the four
most influential consumer technology companies to be Google
(naturally), Apple, Amazon and Facebook. Microsoft did not make it
into his little clique. This itself would seem almost a mathematical
impossibility when you account for Microsoft's market share in the PC
arena and also a direct affront to the 'chain of command' given the
many ways that Microsoft indirectly and directly affects the lives of
people and companies around it. Sure, Microsoft doesn't have the
strong-hold it had on multiple markets 5-10 years back, but heck,
Microsoft has commanding, monopoly-enabling market share in PCs –
and market share means power.
We've all seen
Microsoft's success as an underdog, and their success has always
coalesced with the idea of 'slow and steady wins the race'. And
perhaps slow and steady manifests Microsoft itself as a corporation,
an influential giant completely devoid of the agility of its start-up
days. The world was sceptical about the Xbox when it launched, it
took time to gain traction but Microsoft eventually broke through
with the product and it is now the best-selling console in the United
States. Windows Phone still sits at the bottom of the smartphone pack
with a single digit market share to boast, but Microsoft are in no
position to give up on Windows Phone (I'm glaring at you, HP). With
Nokia paving multiple new pathways and opening new doors for the
platform, there isn't much to justify the opinions of anyone who
believes Windows Phone is going down. I can see why analysts are
bullish on their prospects for the platform.
At that, there's no
reason why we as the consumers shouldn't be bullish on Microsoft and
its Windows 8 project either. By all intents and purposes if
Microsoft decides to dump the Windows monicker in the same way that
they dumped 'Windows Mobile' for 'Windows Phone' it would not be
completely out of line. After all, the new OS does not look, or more
importantly, feel like Windows at all. It's touch-friendly, it's
intuitive, it's animated...it's fun. Microsoft made a big case for
touch technology at its BUILD 2011 event, slanting heavily towards an
ideology that touch is the future of computer interaction, and I
agree wholeheartedly.
As we all are fully
aware, Microsoft's approach to slates and tablets has always appeared
as half-hearted, not bothering to put in the full effort to have an
OS optimised for iPad-like devices with the belief that a powerful
operating system could justify the poor ease of use. Consumer
reception has likewise been half-hearted. Microsoft obviously
overlooked the fact that the power factor of the full Windows
experience is only sufficiently augmented with the presence of a
keyboard and mouse. So when it comes to slates, looking at Windows 8,
despite its often frustrating switches between interfaces it's
relieving to see that Microsoft has managed to acknowledge the
writing on the wall and subsequently put their heart in the right
place.
I guess we can thank
the iPad for its applications as an impetus for a stagnating PC
market. I believe that people and innovators are the creators of
their own fate - yeah I know it's corny and it's cliche, but it's true. The technology market, or automotive market or any
market that thrives on innovation isn't and should not be bounded by
the perceived limitations of eras or times. I get the feeling that
people believe that things have to remain a certain way until a
specific time comes that rings a bell for a revolution or an
overthrow of the current. Perhaps a good example to illustrate this
very point would be flexible display technology - we'd all love to
see flexible displays right now and the prospects are exciting but
there's always going to be the consensus that the concept is simply
too far ahead of its time. I'm glad that Microsoft has shown the gut
to propel the industry with a revolution in Windows 8, instead of yet
another evolution of Windows 7 which would only vitiate the
industry's implacable transition into touch and 'post-PC'.
Windows 8 is not a
perfect operating system, it's far from perfect and will most likely
take a generation or two to eradicate legacy requirements which are
by far its biggest gripe. I'm not predicting that Windows 8 will sell
like hot cakes, will be insanely successful or by all means, not
be a Vista. The developer preview of Windows 8 though is purely
representational of Microsoft's trajectory, and the most I can say is
that Microsoft have pointed their unwieldy ship in the right
direction. They have proven themselves in the past that they are more
than capable of winning a game slow and steady and have proven their
ability to successfully leverage their assets and integrate tightly
their cobweb of products and services. As far as I can see, these are
a few crucial underpinnings for imminent success.
Great post, and I agree with most of what was said. I think Microsoft DOES have the potential to be in the top few tech giants, but they do need to decide on their future path and what customers really need and want. Dual-booting the developer's preview of Windows 8 right now, it seems that Microsoft have caught themselves in the crevasse that is between the tablet and PC market. Question is, how long will the hype and conundrums about tablets last before they die down? Although (as you well know), I am not an Apple supporter, I will say that they have bridged their hardware to their software extremely well; optimisation and wide device support being key. Can Windows 8 pull this off? Time will tell, but I'll leave you with this; http://www.lifehacker.com.au/2011/09/windows-8-speed-tests-its-faster-at-pretty-much-everything These guys just did some simple benchmarking with Windows 8 pre-release candidate and things look promising. I say: bring on Windows 8, and the tablet version while you're at it.
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